What if evolution is more than individual species adaptation? What if ecosystems evolve as a whole, where every creature plays an important part?

Does adaptation occur on the group and ecosystem level as well as on the individual level? Not quite. There’s a quieter way to view it, i.e. systems have no DNA to evolve, hence they don’t do that.

Every species adapts to its instantaneous environment. As the environment shifts, so does the target of the adaptation. It is easy to observe that when one species’ changes conflict with another’s, progress will slow. And when two species’ adaptations turn out to be mutually supportive, those adaptations there is a synergy in play as both enhance not just their own but each other’s survival. Over time the purely random nature of evolution uncovers adaptations that work and favors those. It also uncovers adaptations that work less well, and disfavors those.

Before long, close collaboration among multiple species is almost fated to arise on its own. No magic hand, no gaia concept, nothing but the working out of systems that respond in random ways. Pure randomness exposes these tiny happy accidents. May the happiest accident win.

How do theories like the Big Bang and Evolution explain the universe and life being consistent and logical, if they rely on random change to explain life and the universe?

1. GOD said, “Let there be light.” We know, today, that this occurred just about 13.8 billion years ago.

2. GOD tells us, in the Psalms, to view His wonders and majesty in the skies. We’ve gone there, and a) discovered that billions-of-years age, plus the fact that when the Word made everything that was made, He made so many stars that it takes at least a 24-digit number to express their total, and that Dark Matter / Dark Energy qualify as the “and unseen” part.

3. In I Kings 19:12 (or nearby) we hear “the still small voice of GOD” when Elijah emerges from the mountain cave, after the wind and earthquake and fire have passed by, GOD not being in any of them. I (yes, this is a reach) choose to view the 3.4 degree Kelvin background microwave radiation that comes from all points of the sky as that “still small voice,” even though the original Hebrew in I Kings used “silence.”

4. Quibbling with GOD over time spans and methods? JOB did that, too.

5. Genesis is in fact an “origin story.” What separates it from all other origin stories, and each ancient culture has at least one, is that it is crammed with GOD’s love, patience, forgiveness, authority, and mercy. No other origin story even comes close.

6. Quibbling with GOD over when and how He reveals Himself to us is the act of a child. Yes, we are to come unto Him after the manner of a child! But when that childishness wishes to hogtie GOD’s self-revelation to an origin story, and rejects dealing with what our minds have found, including the MOST AWESOME version of grandeur and lavish creation? That could never have been dealt with by Abraham and his contemporaries. So try not to quibble!!

7. Insisting on simplistic faith is good; insisting on simplistic facts is not good. It is in reality a tool Satan employs to make your testimony to the unchurched neither “stumbing block” nor “folly” but instead a granite wall. Deal with your unwitting refusal to share GOD’s truth by trying to pack it into something that violates His command that we learn about His Glories.

I’ll stop here. If this doesn’t provide an adequate explanation of how to read GOD’s word with a child’s heart but at the same time an adult’s knowledge of His VAST awesomeness, at least I have made the effort. The rest is up to you.

Peace and love, Joel

As someone who isn’t a conservative, what do you wish all conservatives would start doing?

One reply, clearly upset by gis photos showing angry bird-flipping Trump-ers with four-letter wording on their signs,  ended this way: My appeal from the very beginning of this post still stands. Can we please ask you to remember that we are fellow human beings, fellow Americans, and we are not evil, and not your enemy? Can we please just stop with the raging vitriolic hatred?

Not going to make excuses for my fellow Republicans – they are deep into ideological bloom(*) but after the slow rise of “safe zones” and “trigger warnings” and the like on many college campuses, and the bleed-over into public discourse? Datapoint, FORTY years ago, member of a small church (Lutheran, no less) and sitting on the church council, when one council member said to another something along the lines of, “He’s actually a good guy, once you get past his politics.” (conservative) This was on the Left Coast, but still, forty years ago! The casual, provincial bias of the left-good/right-wretched mentality. And the fellow was himself fairly bright, educated, and sympathtetic in all other regards.

Fast forward four decades, and who on earth is going to fail to realize that there will be a counter reaction? It turns out that conservatives have safe spaces and trigger warnings too. I won’t talk down and suggest that the left deal with it, but there it is.

(*)Ideological bloom: compare ideas to sunlight, then turn your camera to take a picture of the sky, centered on the sun. Your picture is monochrome, all whited-out. When ideas have been inflamed to a sun-like intensity, which by this point IS the case with many on the right, DJT has a lock on followers who buy into every single stupid thing he says.

I can’t wait for the impeachment to play out; but the left’s own wee dose of ideological bloom has been growing apace. Bernie and Elizabeth, anyone?

Republicans argue that Jesus promoted voluntarily giving away to the poor, rather than taking away and giving to someone else. Are Republicans really more Christian though? It appears to me that they seem to promote a culture of greed.

Since Christians are “to live in the world but not OF the world” the topic of social responsibility is, in Christian hands, a matter of who you encounter in your daily walk. Jesus told the Pharisees to pay their taxes; he didn’t tell them (how to) set policy. As stated in another answer, Jewish culture (like most thriving cultures, one might note) nominally did a good job of caring for the indigent.

Now come two dozen politicians of the Blue stripe; a few on the bluer-than-thou end of the spectrum appear to advocate a policy of take it while it’s there, i.e. tax the rich to improve the lives of the rest. Since politicians don’t do much math, they don’t have a clue what that would do in practice. And “the rich”—i.e. ones with a lot to defend, have Bill Gates and Warren Buffet on one end of the scale and the Trilateralist Commission on the other end. Taken as a whole, those with assets are anxious not to see them disappear.

Bottom line, I recall a contest between two baby sisters, both verbal but not yet in kindergarten. One of them had a new purse, and the other said, “Don’t be selfish, give it to me.”

‘Nuf sed. Administering others’ wealth via plebiscite is not a workable idea.

How likely is the idea of a million monkeys with typewriters producing Shakespeare with a limited time frame of December 2020?

Given that our monkeys stay busy, they will produce something. Define something as a brief sequence of letters, e.g. the alphabet. Let’s do a little hand-wave and ignore the shift key, which requires the monkey to press down on SHIFT while striking a letter, and remove the requirement for capital letters to start sentences. This is, after all, an exercise in whimsy. (Similarly, swiping the carriage return bar becomes problematic, i.e. the monkey focuses on all those keys! If this is a computer keyboard, fine – but if we’re using real typewriters, let’s do another hand-wave.)

Extending that supposed brief sequence of letters to all of Shakespeare just makes the odds longer. In order to have a stand-in number, rather than count all the letters and spaces in Shakespeare just do ANOTHER hand-wave and grab a “useful comparison” out of thin air – a thousand pages with five hundred words per page? Average word length, plus space, six characters?

Pseudo-Shakespeare, in this example, requires three million keypresses. Not sure if any monkey can work that hard by December 2020 – leave that for last.

Each keypress is one of 26 letters, 10 numbers, and a handful of punctuations. Let’s say that there are 40 different keys to press, ONE of which will be correct, 3 million times. The odds of getting 1-of-40 three million times in a row works out to 1-of-40 times itself three million times; that takes one-in-40 to one-in-(4 to the 3 millionth power, i.e. 2 to the 6 millionth power) times one-in-(ten to the 3 millionth power, i.e. a 1 followed by 3 million zeroes.)

Very roughly speaking, 2 to the 6 millionth power is roughly one thousand to the 600 thousandth power, or 1 followed by 1.8 million zeroes. Bottom line, hitting the right key out of 40, three million times in a row, is one chance (one monkey) in 10 to the 4.8 millionth power. You’d need a 4.8 million digit number just to count your monkeys. Does this provide a rough idea of reproducing Shakespeare with monkeys?

Finally, suppose the monkey makes a thousand keypresses per hour, or one per 3.6 seconds. Yes, that’s slow – but can we give the monkey coffee breaks, time to watch the news, and nightly sleep? Fine, you’re a generous person! Three thousand hours is all it takes. At 168 hours per week that comes out to (again, roughly) 17 weeks and 6 days. Going from October 1 2019 to December 31 2020 is 65 weeks; almost 4 times longer than required.

So cut the monkeys from 10 to the 4.8 millionth power down to 2.5 times ten to the 4,799,799th power. See how big a difference that makes?

How solid is the science that global warming will do more harm than good? Are we relying on the “unnatural = bad” fallacy and unproven climate modeling?

Forgive me if I “talk down” but this question appears to deserve harsh treatment. Since global warming disrupts just about every square mile of land on this planet and much of the ocean, it is fair to call it disruptive.

Disruptive changes challenge all disrupted species; most of them flounder or go extinct.

We are not relying on a fallacy, and announcing that “unnatural = bad” is one doesn’t beg for proof, it grovels.

As to climate modeling, its challenges are in the weeds; it just isn’t perfect. But in large, it is spot on. Offering off-hand insult to the folks who have spent careers shaping and refining climate models is beneath any respectable human being.

Why is modern life so heavy, so loaded, so burdensome? Why did they make fun illegal?

We get hard-shelled to some of it. Thirty thousand lives destroyed each year in car crashes, for instance. How many deaths come from nationally publicized gun violence? (a)Local gun violence, pretty low-level relative to car deaths, isn’t reported on nationally. (b) Splashy events do make network news; and for every such death, hundreds die in car crashes.

Where is the math in that? What are your odds of dying either way? 320 million people, life expectancy 75 years, over 4 million deaths annually==seven point five per thousand deaths are in car wrecks. Do you fear for your life on the highway?

The real answer, in my quiet opinion, is that because we no longer need a quiet refuge of faith to buoy us up in real hard times, he have no refuge of faith for those times when we do feel down. The cell phone, blessed wonderful device, and PC/MAC stations at home where we wallow in face-book (etc.) and “two million supermarkets can’t be wrong” sites like this one (smiley) separate us from the interpersonal web of support that people used to enjoy.

Three generations ago families interacted in the evening; then radio and later TV came along and we rolled down a marvelous slippery slope, away from each other and into the arms of the electron.

Electrifying isn’t elevating.

For wholly other reasons I believe that GOD created this universe and gives it all the purpose we need. If you’re on-your-own here, then yes modern life is loaded with burdens and vacant of the interrelationships that help us endure them.

Fun? “Either illegal, fattening, or immoral.” I sense it’s the immoral part that gets to most of us; sex is of the body, not the heart. Finding a life partner who is above all a confidant and friend, good for conversation at all times of day or night, someone to whom and for whom we are willing to make great sacrifices, THAT is the blessing we need as human to human. Wife, buddy, boss, child, all of the above. We need to be in relation. GOD puts us there.

How did a small band of Homo sapiens speaking the same language 50K years ago eventually migrate and develop thousands of different languages, each with a special grammar and vocabulary? What forces make language change so radically?

Not fifty—seventy-five. Languages evolve each time someone arrives who is “an influencer” – lots of those, when your genus is spread across five thousand miles and your immediate contacts are spread across about one one-thousandth of that. Languages don’t so much “evolve” as “squiggle” constantly.

Pick up a newspaper from one-hundred years ago and try to imagine your current fave newscaster reading the op-ed to you. See what I mean?

RECENT HISTORY

Fifth to Ninth Centuries more or less – – legends of King Arthur written down at the tail end, mostly remaining oral lore. (Our versions of them are half a millennium out of date.) Beowulf written around AD 800, give or take. It’s been called the first great literary work in the English language. That is, Early English. Nobody can read it any more except the typical PhD candidate at studying English Literature.

When the Norsemen rowed up the Seine in the Ninth Century they tok over, but learned to speak what the locals were speaking. At that point the locals spoke Old French, a bastardized, morphed version of Latin. Ditto Spain, Italy – – Romania is where the language changed least.

Middle Eleventh Century: the Latin-ish language of William the Conqueror from Normandy (Norse – Normandy – ring a bell?) succeeds in routing the current ruler of a large part of the center of England. He sweeps in and unifies the whole island, UP TO THE NECK between Britain and Scotland. Getting those feisty folk to switch over the the Germanic tongue in favor south of them and now being put into a blender with Old French? That took quite a while.

Two more centuries go by. A German-ish language, i.e. Early German, a.k.a Early Dutch, Early Norse, Early Danish, and Early English, each having many confusing dialects of its own, was spoken over all of north-central Europe, Scandinavia, and much of England. (Need a foot note here about Gaelic, Wales, Scotland, and Ireland – they all still spoke versions of that.) Latinate roots become the basis of upper class speech.

Thirteenth Century – the two major language families merged, at the expense of having to abandon using word endings to signify gender, case, verb tense, etc. We come to Middle English via Chaucer. Ever try to read him? You can, but it’s a real chore and lots of footnotes are necessary. By the way, in Chaucer’s day “Middle English” was like a “horse designed by a committee.” Several hundred slightly different versions.

Late Sixteenth Century – Shakespeare. Turn the corner and in 1603, start of the Seventeenth Century, the King James Bible. These two items put the brakes on change between then and now, because they continued to be read in the original.

For review: fairly stable state up until the Danes began to raid Britain, at which point their version and the local version of Old English disagreed enough that people began to speak a patois, a simplified version. First step was to cut away word endings, because it was simpler to say the root word and add some other helper word to make your point.

GO FORWARD two and one-half centuries: Old French becomes the only way for the nobility to communicate. Thanks, William.

GO FORWARD two centuries: Middle English has evolved with one major spokesmodel, Chaucer, whose version became our idea of “Middle English.”

GO FORWARD three centuries: Early Modern English, via Shakespeare and the King James Version of the Bible. The Renaissance has encouraged the scholarly types to adopt large numbers of Greek and Latin word roots to fill in the semantic gaps.

GO FORWARD four centuries: Us. The language is still morphing, but not as fast as before. Recall the jibe in George Bernard Shaw’s play Pygmalion, rewritten as the Broadway play My Fair Lady: Professor Dolittle tells us this: “Why, in America they haven’t spoken it for years,” referring of course to the English language.

BOTTOM LINE: since it takes nation-level forces to slow a language down to the point its rate of change is a solemn plod, the rules are different now. Before, little groups gallopped away to speak new languages in the span of a few millennia. Given that we’re looking back fifty to seventy-five millennia, the enormous development into tonal languages (China, some Amerindians, many more) vs. highly inflected languages (Latin, Russian) vs. languages which rely on helper words (English and Chinese, – – ) the slow evolution of grammar and diction is slow only relative to the span of written history. Add in fifty-odd other millennia and the corners that languages have gone around (tonal vs not, inflected vs not) are no surprise.

DATAPOINT: in the seas south of Asia there is an island archipelago that extends two thousand miles. One language is spoken along the entire length of that island chain, but folks at the far ends can’t make heads or tails out of what they might say to each other. They have to use a separate, widely known language to converse. Why? Neighboring islands each have tiny differences in grammar, vocabulary, idiom and so forth. They have not problem conversing. “How they talk one island over is a little different, but we get along fine.” Extend that across two thousand miles, and it would be astonishing if folks at one end could converse with folks at the other end.

Think of this as an analogy: The game of “telephone” – ten people line up, and the one on the end whispers some gossip into the next one’s ear, then second to third, etc. Whatever the tenth player thinks the message was, IT AIN’T THE SAME.

Languages are like that.

If a random sample of 250,000 modern humans procreated only with each other and their descendants, and all their progeny did likewise, would a new species of human eventually develop?

If you wait long enough. The vast majority of humanity would of course change/drift over time, in a direction impossible for us to guess at, much less predict.

The much tinier population, given that genetic exchange between the two sets was made utterly impossible, would also drift and evolve. Perhaps (not guaranteed!) they would solve the same problems that the majority solved, but without the same kind of brakes on. That population would tend to change a little faster.

BUT if you gave a neanderthal a modern garb and a haircut, (s)he could pass as “an odd sort of guy or gal,” and that’s with a starting population way smaller than 250,000. In other words, we spent perhaps one hundred seventy-five of the last hundred thousand years diverging from neanderthals, and they from us, then we out-bred them.

((One interestjng theory: their Y chromosome failed in some way during cross-breeding, hence their male line had that little drag on it while our male line may have done fine when the cross-breed went the other way. Two-hundred-thousand year walk off the end of a one-hundred-seventy-five thousand year pier, if you will.))

In sum, yes a new species would diverge from H sapiens. But it would likely take at least many hundreds of thousands of years, if not longer. Why so slow? That would depend on whether or not we can stave off climate change. THAT kind of challenge should drive changes at a more rapid pace.

COMPARISON: Over the last two million years there were about ten successive waves of major climate change which required significant readjustments in how a member of any genus (just considering homo for now) found food and shelter. Different species of plants, prey, and predator, not to mention new problems in staying cool or warm. Our ancestors had the tools (hands, binocular vision, and I’m sure a lot more) to make brain growth a good answer to the need to adapt. Ten cycles of that, and we went from early homo whatsis to modern homo sapiens. Populations away from Africa diverged into neanderthal, denisovan, etc. The survival funnel which narrowed the Y chromosome lineage to one line, i.e. “Adam,” took place 70 to 75 thousand years ago, after which point modern H. sapiens spread into Europe, Asia and, 50 to 55K years ago, Australia.

Climate change hit us ten good licks; number eleven looms.